Ministry of Silly Journalism
Just returned from the mountains - taking a break from the rush of the city, and it turns out that I am glad that we did so. From news of gunfire in Achrafieh to pro-Syrian protests in Chtoura in the Bekaa (seen on LBC and Future), it looks like we picked a good weekend to lay low and battle the rolling electricity blackouts in the village instead. And who would deny that pro-Syrian protests can be a very entertaining spectacle? Saturday's spontaneous proceedings in Chtoura, for example, came complete with numerous posters of both Hafez and Bashar al-As'ad, as if residents had been storing them for safe-keeping all this time. Chtoura is normally famous for its freshly-made labneh, but it appears that faces of the As'ad dynasty were the hot commodity last night instead. Or, for those more inclined to speculate, the signs and flags were probably donated charitably along with other gadgets and toys by some concerned parties with a presence in the area.
There's more. According to a local source, Friday evening an unidentified individual reportedly threw a grenade into a Syrian army forward operating base in the Bekaa valley. In fairness to those who like to question the veracity of sources (and I agree it is our responsibility as unpaid pseudo-journalists to do so when the spirit moves us), it was not the Kuwaiti daily Al-Siyassa (or Al-Siyasiya or As-Siyasiya or whatever transliteration floats everyone's boat nowadays), nor was it Al-Nahar, nor was it even the guy who provides us with fresh fruits and veggies (although he's from the Bekaa, indeed). In fact - and to quote the great philosopher Dave Barry, I am not not making this up - the information comes directly from a friend of my wife's family who works as a plainclothesman for the interior ministry. Our friend - we'll refer to as him Frank Poncherello both to protect his identity and lend an aura of American-style drama to the story - had his radio on, as he expected to get called back to work. As it turned out, we heard the report as it passed over the airways; so that's how we learned of the event. Wait - that means that our friend did not even tell us; he just inadvertently let the information drift uninhibitedly into our living room. Now how's that for hot gossip? If anyone heard about this via any news source, please let me know.
The reason I mention this anecdote is that it has occurred to me recently of the possibility (however slight) of an insurgency mounting against Syrian forces in Lebanon. Right now there seems to be a lot of passion and fury directed at Syrian troops, even as they sit at comfortable distances from heavily populated areas. Add to this the loads of recent rhetoric dished out by Walid Jumblatt, cut it with some of the arms possessed by his loyal followers and maybe a bit of agitation and support from abroad, and there you have it - a recipe for the beginnings of an insurgency. However - and this is where it gets really sticky - my analysis is based on nothing more than common sense coupled with local expectations and fears. The only insurgency that I really do see happening here is the one currently ongoing in Martyrs' Square in downtown Beirut - and that one is as peaceful as much as it has been outright illegal under Lebanese law. There is supposed to be a moral to this story - something about moral high ground and doing the right thing and the supremacy of non-violent resistance and all that - but I have not approached this post armed with sufficient details and I'm about out of energy. Especially when there are so many dimensions to this story now - As'ad's speech, Nasrallah's comments, and Jumblatt's crypto-capitulation while engaging in a regional round-tripper - that one needs an army of readers and writers just to keep up. I promise I will have more interesting remarks in the coming days; in the meantime, check out Tony's remarks at Across the Bay. He has been doing much more than grading papers lately, that's for certain.

6 Comments:
Just want to thank you for all your hard work. I read this blog daily from British Columbia, Canada. Your entries help me to understand what is going on, especially because I am not as familiar with the culture and politics of the Middle East as I would like to be. Thanks again - Dave
Dave,
Thanks for the kind words. As always, if you have a specific question in mind, do not hesitate to ask, and I will do my best to muster an answer for you.
Caveman,
I read about the explosion in Baalbak on naharnet.com a few days ago. The title is "Bomb Explodes Outside Syrian Army Baalbek Post". The post is still there. It happened near Ain something, the big park in the southeast corner of the city. Hmmm... interesting place for anti-Syrian supporters to be living, eh?
Of course, you've heard/ seen that an Amal supporter shot a Christian protester.
Many Shia Hezbollah supporting students have been saying they want to do something, but don't know what to do. Their families are divided on the issue, and their zu'ama have not come out with a specific stance.
Many people I've talked to think that Nasrallah's protest (and Berri's pathetic me-tooing) is a plea to the country to keep thinking about their presence. They have to take a stand. Thanking Syria for supporting the resistance is nice and all, but the anti-Syria protesters are not belittling the entire country. In fact, I saw a sign at the muzaharra stating, "Syria Leave. We'll forgive you. We'll forget."
Mountain Man
Caveman,
Franjieh is saying all kinds of crazy thinks trying to freak everyone who is not Christian out.
Also, Sunnis are starting to attack Syrian workers in Saida.
A Syrian friend of mine who went home for the weekend told me that the usually bustling, busy border is absolutely empty. No one is going back and forth.
Mountain Man
More news...
Kuwaiti papers are again claiming big news.
Supposedly, Lahoud has granted Lebanese citizenship to Syrian mukhabarat so that they can stay in the country. Evil move.
If this is true and if the Baath is truly trying to open new operations in the country, I think we can expect some "random" violence against the offices and perhaps even Lahoud himself.
It's really sad that Lahoud is such a patsy. He could come out of this a hero if he was smart. But then again, neither Bashar nor him have any idea how the real world works.
Lahoud could come out publically supporting the Syrian withdrawal and calling for a full investigation into Hariri's slaying. He could meet with Opposition members, and personally extend a hand to Michel Aoun to come back.
In the mean time, he should make sure that Hezbollah is completely backing him and he should use Speaker Berri as the chief government protest.
Mountain Man
Well, there may be legal ramnifications to Lahoud pulling an Alija Izetbegovic (late Bosnian president) and granting citizenship to the particular foreigners to whom he owes the privilege of his position. Also, the war has been over for more than a decade, so he cannot count on Syrian mukhabarat guys just getting lost in the post-war chaotic scramble, as Izetbegovic managed to do for the various mujahidin who fought with his security forces in Bosnia. And besides, these guys still have their jobs to do - since when could an employee of a foreign country's intelligence services get citizenship in Lebanon and still keep his spooky job? Would there not be legal consequences from the Syrian side as well?
This makes little sense - hope the Kuwaiti papers recognize that. Lahoud is not stupid - if he wants the mukhabarat to stay, he will just tell them to stay and not make a public spectacle out of it.
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