Nasrallah to U.S.: "Bring 'Em On!"
Hizbullah General Secretary Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, at a rally in Beirut organized by the Palestinian militant group Hamas, stated April 1 that should the United States send troops to oversee Hizbullah's disarmament, that they would be beaten back in frustration, an-Nahar reports. Nasrallah added that he hoped that "[they] have the guts to come… I wish they would come." Nasrallah also mentioned that, "We are telling America and all those who want to take away the arms of the resistance, of the Palestinian refugee camps in Lebanon, and the resistance in Palestine so as to protect Israel that this is 'mission impossible' and it is forbidden."
This is an interesting statement for a party that recently has claimed to protect national sovereignty and unity in Lebanon. It appears that George W. Bush is not alone in the tendency to make "bring 'em on"-like statements. Is your movement backed into a corner? Are you smarting from pressure from local and international opposition? Are you seeing the guarantor of the status quo in your neighborhood sneaking out the back door under pressure from within the country? Well, if you are, then it must be time to make some new allies, and Nasrallah seems to be trying to do this.
First and foremost, we must consider that Hizbullah's statements weeks ago about safeguarding national unity and sovereignty in Lebanon, as I fully expected, were completely meaningless. Hizbullah is not a Lebanese national movement, after all – it is a resistance movement that defines itself based on its religious foundations and on its antipathy toward Israel. It began as an attempt to export the 1979 Iranian revolution abroad, and it still maintains at its core a pro-Iran and pro-Shiite religious and political orientation. Hizbullah is concerned primarily with itself, and it has hardly wavered from its standard line of contempt for the multifarious nature of Lebanese political life. It would like nothing more than to continue to be able to do what it has been doing all along - to aggrandize itself at the expense of diminished prospects for long-term Lebanese stability. That said, with Nasrallah feeling a bit isolated now under the specter of a complete Syrian withdrawal, Hizbullah possibly stands to lose many of the gains it made within the Lebanese state under the post-civil-war order in Lebanon. Aligning themselves with Palestinian groups, namely those in the camps in Lebanon, makes quite a bit of sense under these circumstances. The Palestinians of these camps - who are politically isolated, armed, organized, radicalized, and basically deprived of any legal rights under the Lebanese state - were used for years as a bargaining chip by Syria with which to influence the Lebanese state; Nasrallah may find the same utility in them as well. Rest assured that whatever Nasrallah finds in them, it is for Hizbullah's reasons alone – not for the good of Lebanon, and certainly not for the Palestinians.
I guess this means that I am now back, albeit not in the original saddle from which I got this whole thing going. Apologies for taking so long - I assure you it couldn't be helped.

10 Comments:
Good to see you back and posting again. Hope your move wasn't too stressful.
I dont want to comment so much on the article as i do to your knowledge of old SNL skits. unfrozen caveman lawyer is my favourite
nice to see you back, caveman. I agree with your analysis. Hizballah's tactics frustrate me beyond anything I can immagine.
The opposition says: we want independence. Hizballah responds: some of you want america and france, not independence.
Ever since the very begining their strategy has been to divide the opposition. They know that with time, differences will crop up, and their foe will weaken.
Had the policy objectives of the opposition not been so - you might say - noble, I wouldn't be so angry. But, Hizballah is in effect, fighting against a truly sovereign and independent Lebanon. It is protecting the thieves and goones that the Syrians nurtured in the country. And, it is trying to get the whole country to revolve around its own agenda!
Ah!!! this is all just too much!
Hurray, Caveman! My favorite blog returns, and with gusto!
Sadly, I think I find myself opposing you in the NCAA finals. Fighting Illini!!!
I used to have respect for Nasrallah. I completely disagree with his politics, but he tactfully used ideological and religious rhetoric while acting pragmatically.
All that is now gone. Hezbollah disgusts me.
Thanks for reading, all of you. On March 8 I made the claim that Hizbullah would implode under the pressure of maintaining a public face that is acceptable to a majority of Lebanese. The opposition has compelled Hizbullah to come out of its comfort zone - that of the south of the country, firmly entrenched in its "war" with Israel. It knows little else, and due to its particularly stubborn orientation toward walayat-al-faqih-style of Shi'ism, it will probably not learn anything else, either. At least not without alienating some of its core rank-and-file membership, that is.
This is why, as Raja says, Hizbullah is trying to divide the opposition - because if it does not, Hizbullah itself may splinter and weaken in the process. The clock is ticking, and Nasrallah knows that he cannot keep up this marathon dance that he started doing on March 8.
The essence of Hizbullah's position since March 8 has been defensive - a position they established as soon as they decided to come out and claim that they were fighting for Lebanese sovereignty. The natural response of incredulous Lebanese would be to say "prove it." In this light, subsequent events, namely the massive opposition demonstration soon thereafter, pretty much sent Hizbullah back to the drawing board. Not only would it have to find a way to demonstrate that it represents more than a quisling plurality (if even that) within the electorate, but it would need to find ways to shake up the opposition and divide it against itself. Not easy under the circumstances.
Hence all the finger-pointing about traitors and collaborators within the opposition, while simulataneously seeking allies within the very groups that strike fear in the hearts of Lebanese government members (Palestinian militant groups). I take this to mean that Hizbullah is near desperation - the center of the Lebanese polity is holding, and it is doing so without Hizbullah's sponsorship. Methinks Nasrallah doth protest too much, actually; he has shown us what we all should have been able to expect upon hearing his speech on March 8. Lots of threats, that is.
Go Heels!
Caveman,
You should make your comment into a post. Very insightful analysis.
With his threats to the United States, Nasrallah was actually conveying a defensive position. The sad thing is he has the most credibility to draw red lines like, "They are cooperating with Israel, ahhhhhh!!!"
Nasrallah has been rather astute in his rhetoric as well. He has been beating up self-constructed straw men for quite some time now.
I can't tell you how many arguments I have had with people here - including Mustaqbal members - about why the United States is not threatening to invade Lebanon. This girl would not back down saying that although she supported Hariri, she now supports Hezbollah because she fears that the US will invade.
WHAT?!!!!?!
Nasrallah's jumping around is working to a degree. But he has now alienated enough people that he no longer holds massive command.
Hizballah is in the position that many Arab regimes, parties, and ideological currents in power are in. I have to admit that the "self-constructed" straw-men that lebanon.profile talked about is nothing new in the Arab world. This reminds me of an opinion article by free-lancer Hazem Sagheyyeh: "Hariri between two patriotisms". In this article, he talks about a first patriotism (wataniyyeh) that was prevelant before the secong world war. The patriotism of Saad Zaghloul and Taha Hussein in Egypt, and Riad al-Solh in Lebanon. Hariri belongs to this notion of patriotism. The second notion of patriotism, whose leaders came from military baracks or mosques, is that of Aflack, Nasser, and Hussari, and later islamic movements....
The difference between the two is that the first wanted to take from the colonialists their modernity without their colonialism, whereas the secon wanted to take nothing from the colonial experience but colonialism itself, as a cause to fight for till the end of time...
Manifestations of this is Hizballah's strategy of Western-baiting, blatantly cynical over-symplistic conspiracy theories... Just as Egypt's accusation of Egyptian liberals (Ayman Nour) as western agents, Sudan's pathetic and dangerous refusal of giving up officers to the international criminal court on darfur, and the general Arab regime's cynical dismissal of any opposition movement or critisism as part of an external agenda... Unfortunately, the remains of this mentality in rigid, closed, hard-edged ideologies are still present in the Arab psyche...
But in Lebanon, I see the Hizballah position in the long-run as unsustainabe... The investment of the resistence residual cannot last forever, as I can see over the years shiaa voices becoming louder asking for a "normalcy" in their neghborhoods... Normalcy as opposed to the unhealthy "exceptionalism" that has not been productive to the lives of people in the South... Murmers of a third Shiaa line are in the air... Though it is still early, I see Hizballah's and Amal's monopoly to be eroding in the future...
Let us not forget that nobody was sorrier than Hezbollah when Israel withdrew its troop. Israel would have left the south long ago if it was given. But Nasrallah kept saying that if Israel left south lebanon they were going to bomb north Israel... Have we forgot about that?
Have we forgot that the south liberation was taken as a a national tragedy by Damascus cause it deprived king lion of its principle argument for its occupation and for negociating a peace treaty with Israel?
After delaying Israeli withdrawal Hezbollah is trying to delay the Syrian one. But what can we expect from a fanatic and sectarian party? Bomb yes but liberty no.
The truth is that without foreign occupation Hezbollah is nothing and they know it.
Sorry if I don't publish my name but I leave in Bekaa and I don't want PSNS, Baas or moukabarat coming brotherly at my place.
All very valid points - thank you for bringing them up.
I can certainly understand the anonymity issue. As you probably know already, my real name is not Caveman :)
very interesting....it's the first time i come acrooss this blog....great name too.....though i thought it would be more about AUB....BLissstreet.... i guess there's a lot of brain washing in the people of this country.... they always remind me of the sheep and shepherd...
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